Monday, April 26, 2010

Water Resources: Impacts of climate change & adaption (23/04/2010)

Maybe you think that I am here just to enjoy life with really nice girls, and have fun celebrating things with friends, but it is not really true. Most of my time here in Korea I am studying. Either Korean language (practising), at class (more than 24 h per week in unusual schedules from monday to saturday), doing homework (is most of the part of the evaluation) or going to "recommended" events.
Well, beginning from these hypothesis, I want to tell you my first experience in a international workshop, and the second in climate change.
My first experience in that was in Valencia. The conclusions, in general, were that nobody really knows what is gonna happen (in terms of water resources and rainfall) is spain. So I was really interested if somebody of the guest could know how it is going in their countries.

The workshop was in the Seoul National University, in Seoul (a si?jeje). The university itself is really huge. Well, Seoul metropolitan area is the 2nd biggest in the world (25 million people), but the city it is not that big, only 10 million people, so the university has the same scalar dimension.
I wanted to attach a link to the workshop but I don't really know where to find it. Anyway here it is the order of the day:
In general the speakers were telling their projects in their different countries. (Ojo!) technically speaking their explained the different downscaling techniques applied to their local climate change models, to estimate the rainfall tendency in the next decades (using CGS global models). Others explained about detailed studies, as for example the korean one (with 35 years of data), and more detailed (and more technical and advanced) the US's one.
Even if their conclusions were that some of them detected some trends, and that these trends were because of the climate change, I think that (personal opinion) the amount of data used in the studies (about 30 to 60 years), the sensibility of the models (huge variation of estimations if the data was from 1960 to 1996 and 1960 to 2000) and the uncertainness shown in the results (in the range of more than 16 climate models) is enough to say that nobody really knows what is gonna happen in the next decades (even in the next decade).
Anyway a lot of brains are working on that so I hope that the uncertainness will be reduced soon.
The common sensed US's guy was telling his thesis about the integration of the opinion of the decision maker in the technical process. Really interesting vision: knowing that the decision makers (normally politicians) are gonna promise something not always smart (ehm...) the formulation include this "pre decision" to look for a solution to fix it.

The funny moment was when the Japanese guy was talking about something that was not really climate change. But he was happy to could explain it. In general...??? interesting, jeje.



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